Seminars About Long-term Thinking


A Monthly Seminar Series, Hosted by Stewart Brand.   + About this Series  |  Subscribe to the Podcast  |  Get them on DVD


The Long Now Foundation's monthly Seminars were started in 02003 to build a compelling body of ideas about long-term thinking; to help nudge civilization toward our goal of making long-term thinking automatic and common instead of difficult and rare.

Phillip Longman

“The Depopulation Problem”

+ Read Stewart Brand's Introduction

This talk was given at Conference Center in Fort Mason Center in San Francisco, California on Friday August 13, 02004

There is no video available for this Seminar.

The depopulation problem

Full PDF of the talk here , slideshow here .

No need to summarize this time. Phillip Longman wrote out his whole talk, with the illustrations more viewable even than they were at the Seminar and talk.

It is full of rethink-the-news sentences like: “Notice that Japan’s lengthening recession began just as continuously falling fertility rates at last caused its working-age population to begin shrinking in relative size.”

One thing worth adding from the Q&A at Phil’s public lecture August 13th. Kevin Kelly asked him what he thought the world might feel like in 100 years.

“People a century from now will have so few blood relatives I think it could be very lonely.” The audience, convinced by then, was utterly still.

-- by Stewart Brand
MP3 Audio
View Slideshow

This Seminar also appears on our Seminar Audio Podcast.
Subscribe to receive new Seminar downloads as soon as they are available.

Sign in or Become a Member to participate.

No comments yet. Be the first to leave a comment about this Seminar.

Upcoming Seminars

  • Thursday April 1
  • David Eagleman
  • “Six Easy Steps to Avert the Collapse of Civilization”





Previous Seminars

02010 Catalog



  • Wade Davis
  • “The Wayfinders: Why Ancient Wisdom Matters in the Modern World”

02009 Catalog







  • Paul Romer
  • “A Theory of History, with an Application”



  • Daniel Everett
  • “Endangered languages, lost knowledge and the future”



02008 Catalog








  • Paul Ehrlich
  • “The Dominant Animal: Human Evolution and the Environment”



  • Craig Venter
  • “Joining 3.5 Billion Years of Microbial Invention”


  • Paul Saffo
  • “Embracing Uncertainty: the secret to effective forecasting”

02007 Catalog





  • Alex Wright
  • “Glut: Mastering Information Though the Ages”





  • Brian Fagan
  • “We Are Not the First to Suffer Through Climate Change”

  • Vernor Vinge
  • “What If the Singularity Does NOT Happen?”

  • Philip Tetlock
  • “Why Foxes Are Better Forecasters Than Hedgehogs”

02006 Catalog

  • Philip Rosedale
  • “'Second Life:' What Do We Learn If We Digitize EVERYTHING?”



  • Orville Schell
  • “China Thinks Long-term, But Can It Relearn to Act Long-term?”

  • John Rendon
  • “Long-term Policy to Make the War on Terror Short”



  • Jimmy Wales
  • “Vision: Wikipedia and the Future of Free Culture”

  • Kevin Kelly
  • “The Next 100 Years of Science: Long-term Trends in the Scientific Method.”



02005 Catalog

  • Sam Harris
  • “The View from the End of the World”

  • Clay Shirky
  • “Making Digital Durable: What Time Does to Categories”



  • Robert Fuller
  • “Patient Revolution: Human Rights Past and Future”






  • Roger Kennedy
  • “The Political History of North America from 25,000 BC to 12,000 AD”

  • James Carse
  • “Religious War In Light of the Infinite Game”

02004 Catalog






  • Jill Tarter
  • “The Search for Extra-terrestrial Intelligence: Necessarily a Long-term Strategy”



  • Daniel Janzen
  • “Third World Conservation: It's ALL Gardening”



  • George Dyson
  • “There's Plenty of Room at the Top: Long-term Thinking About Large-scale Computing”

02003 Catalog



Some Rights Reserved (CC)

The Long Now Foundation
Fostering Long-term Responsibility
est. 01996.